My prediction for Tuesday: Republicans win 62 seats in the US House, and achieve a tie in the US Senate...leading to post-election day speculation that Joe Lieberman will now caucus with the Republicans. That scenario also means that VP Joe Biden is the tie-breaking vote in the Senate, which this Republican believes will lead to two years of awesome hilarity.
Although I am a Republican, I am willing to note that people are voting against Democrats, rather than for Republicans. The approval rating for Republicans in general remains low--and the GOP needs to take this opportunity to align itself with the wishes of the majority of American voters.
Pollster Scott Rasmussen
sums the situation up:
Elected politicians also should leave their ideological baggage behind because voters don't want to be governed from the left, the right, or even the center. They want someone in Washington who understands that the American people want to govern themselves.
The "self-governing" philosophy is best exemplified by the rise of the tea party. The party that grasps this concept first, will be allowed to govern the longest.
In my home state of Iowa, I would not be surprised to see the federal Democratic incumbents survive the wave, due to an excellent get-out-the-vote effort honed during previous Iowa caucuses. But the Iowa House majority will be reclaimed by the Republicans, the GOP will also make gains in the Senate, and Terry Branstad will return to the Governor's mansion. There will be some turnover to the GOP in the statewide offices, as I believe that
the Iowa Poll reporting a 12-point lead for Branstad and a 21-point lead for Senator Charles Grassley will depress Democratic turn-out on Election Day.
Predictions made on the Internet are scary, because if you are wrong, it's out there forever! But this blog was the first in Iowa to predict a caucus win for Barack Obama, so I feel an obligation to put myself out there.
I'll be on KMA Radio in Shenandoah on Tuesday night to provide GOP election analysis. Coverage will begin around 8:30 pm, and you can hear it
here.